How AfriPredict Works

Prediction markets turn knowledge and opinion into tradeable shares. Prices move with the crowd. Profit comes from being right.

What is a Prediction Market?

A prediction market lets you trade shares tied to the outcome of a future event. Every market has a YES share and a NO share, each priced between 1¢ and 99¢. These prices reflect the market's collective probability estimate of the event happening.

At resolution, one side is right and the other is wrong. Winning shares pay out ZAR 1.00 each. Losing shares pay ZAR 0.00. Your profit is the difference between what you paid and what you collected.

Example

You buy 100 YES shares at 65¢. You pay ZAR 65. If the market resolves YES, you receive ZAR 100. That's a ZAR 35 profit (+54%). If it resolves NO, you receive ZAR 0.

Three Steps. Start Trading.

Pick a Market

Browse curated events across politics, sports, crypto, and geopolitics. Read the resolution criteria. Form your view.

Buy YES or NO

Commit to your side at the current price. Use market orders for instant fills or limit orders for a specific price.

Redeem Winnings

When the market resolves, winning shares auto-pay ZAR 1.00 each. Withdraw anytime to your bank or crypto wallet.

Pricing Explained

Price equals probability.A YES share at 68¢ means the market believes there's a 68% chance of YES. YES + NO always equals ZAR 1.00. As new information arrives, prices move — and informed traders profit.

YES at 20¢

20% probability

YES at 50¢

Coin flip

YES at 80¢

80% probability

How Markets Resolve

Every market names an unambiguous resolution source: IEC, CAF, Stats SA, CoinGecko, the Federal Register. Our resolution team verifies the outcome, cross-checks it, and settles positions within 24 hours of the event.

Fees

We charge a flat 2% trading fee on each executed trade. No withdrawal fees on bank transfers. Card deposits carry a 2% processor fee. That's the whole pricing page.

Risks

You can lose money on AfriPredict. Losing shares are worth zero. Prices are volatile and can move against you. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose. AfriPredict is not investment advice and not a substitute for proper financial planning.

Frequently Asked

A prediction market lets you trade shares on the outcome of future events. Share prices directly reflect the crowd-sourced probability of each outcome. If the event resolves YES, YES shares pay ZAR 1.00 each. NO shares pay ZAR 0.00. And vice versa.