Will the ANC win the 2026 SA municipal elections with over 40% of the vote?

Last updated 2 days ago

Yes

41¢

-13¢ (-24.1%) past 30d

59¢

Implied probability 41% YES

Yes Price Chart

South Africa holds municipal elections in 2026. This market resolves YES if the ANC receives more than 40% of the national vote as reported by the IEC official results.

Resolution Criteria

South Africa holds municipal elections in 2026. This market resolves YES if the ANC receives more than 40% of the national vote as reported by the IEC official results.

Resolution source

IEC official results — iec.org.za

Market closes

Aug 1, 2026

Created

Dec 1, 2025